Arabica Coffee Technical Analysis | Arabica Coffee Trading: 2020-10-28 | IFCM
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Arabica Coffee Technical Analysis - Arabica Coffee Trading: 2020-10-28

COFFEE Technical Analysis Summary

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Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Above 110

Buy Stop

Below 104,9

Stop Loss

Mary Wild
Senior Analytical Expert
Articles 2058
IndicatorSignal
RSI Buy
MACD Buy
MA(200) Neutral
Fractals Neutral
Parabolic SAR Buy
Bollinger Bands Neutral

COFFEE Chart Analysis

COFFEE Chart Analysis

COFFEE Technical Analysis

On the daily timeframe, Coffee: D1 breached up the downtrend resistance line. A number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for further growth. We do not rule out a bullish move if Coffee rises above the last maximum: 110. This level can be used as an entry point. We can place a stop loss below the Parabolic signal, the lower Bollinger line and the last lower fractal: 104.9. After opening a pending order, we can move the stop loss to the next fractal low following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction, the most risk-averse traders can switch to the 4-hour chart and set a stop loss, moving it in the direction of the bias. If the price meets the stop loss (104.9) without activating the order (110), it is recommended to delete the order: some internal changes in the market have not been taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis of Commodities - COFFEE

A drought in Brazil could lead to lower crop. Will the Coffee quotes grow ?

The Brazilian agency Somar Meteorologia reported that the state of Minas Gerais received only 62% of the historical rainfall for this time of year. This state is Brazil's main Arabica coffee growing region. At the same time, the Vietnamese National Center for Hydro Meteorological Forecasting reported flooding in the Central Highland area and damage to robusta coffee trees due to Typhoon Molave. US Climate Prediction Center forecasts a drought in Brazil in Q4 this year, with the natural phenomenon of La Nina emerging. Earlier, Coffee's quotes fell by almost a third due to the forecast of the Brazilian agency Conab’s forecast of a 38% increase in harvest this year to 47.4 million bags. If this estimate is revised downward due to drought, an upward correction is possible.

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This overview has an informative and tutorial character and is published for free. All the data, included in the overview, are received from public sources, recognized as more or less reliable. Moreover, there is no guarantee that the indicated information is full and precise. Overviews are not updated. The whole information in each overview, including opinion, indicators, charts and anything else, is provided only for familiarization purposes and is not financial advice or а recommendation. The whole text and its any part, as well as the charts cannot be considered as an offer to make a deal with any asset. IFC Markets and its employees under any circumstances are not liable for any action taken by someone else during or after reading the overview.

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